Urbin Report

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Population shift may affect 2012 election

It looks like the 2010 Census will cause a reallocation of Congressional House seats, and a corresponding shift in Electoral College votes.

The big winner is Texas, which is likely to gain three new seats in the House of Representatives. Other states would gain single seats. Those being Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada and Utah.

The losers are Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania. All are on track to loose a single seat.

Except for Iowa, all of the states loosing a seat have majority democrat congressional delegations. In the case of Massachusetts, the entire delegation consists of far left extremist liberal democrats.

The states gaining seats all went Republican in 2000 and 2004.

This trend in population shift is continuing. It is possible for more House seats to shift by the time the 2010 Census is counted.

Update: Welcome Instapundit readers (and thanks for the grammar tip ;->)
Could this be why our Dear Leader wants to bring control of the upcoming 2010 Census directly into the White House and out of the non-partisan control of the Commerce department?

Samizdata.net blog asks a very good question.

Is a White House take over of the census constitutional?