Urbin Report

Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Iowa Predictions

By way of Rightwing Sparkle comes this:

Political Wire got an advance look at a new Strategic Vision poll in Iowa that shows Sen. Barack Obama leading the Democratic presidential race with 32% support, followed by John Edwards at 29% and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 27%.

I know that less than 10% of Iowa voters bother to caucus, and that poll shows Obama, Edwards and Mrs. Bill Clinton in pretty much a dead heat.

It would be cool to see Hillary Rodham Clinton get her "Inevitability" train derailed through by her coming in third, behind Obama and the Breck Boy.

Interesting enough, Obama, Edwards, Clinton is how Bob Nowak calls it, with Governor Richardson coming in fourth.

UPDATE: Hillary must be running scared about coming in third as well. Bryan at Hot Air notes that she is engaging in an "ass covering" exercise, or as he puts it "Embarrassment Prevention 101."
ABC News puts a more pro-HRC spin on it:
As the presidential candidates engage in furious pre-caucus spin, one of Sen. Hillary Clinton’s most prominent Iowa supporters said Wednesday that she’s already accomplished what she needs to in Iowa and can declare success even if she finishes in third place.


That is what we in the reality shared by rational adults call "bullshit." HRC has been claiming to the anointed front runner with her victories a matter of "inevitability." Getting beat by some one who was a state senator in a "flyover state" a few years ago and the Breck Boy is a major loss, no matter how much she and her political attack machine try to lie about it.