Urbin Report

Sunday, September 26, 2004

The expanding Coalition of Red States

If the election were held today, Bush would receive 301 electoral votes to Kerry's 237, according to a CNN survey based on state polling as well as interviews with campaign aides and independent analysts. A candidate wins the election with 270 electoral votes, regardless of the popular vote.

2000 Blue states Pennsylvania, Oregon, New Jersey, Michigan and Minnesota are now battleground states where Kerry has to spend time defending rather than trying to gain new votes.